Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007076 0.008277 0.009707 0.011560 0.013937 0.016936 0.021101
2025-04-20 0.005724 0.007236 0.009253 0.012233 0.016708 0.023521 0.035470
2025-04-27 0.004922 0.006544 0.008875 0.012658 0.019062 0.030443 0.055234
2025-05-04 0.004287 0.005906 0.008363 0.012636 0.020590 0.036712 0.079791
2025-05-11 0.003821 0.005415 0.007942 0.012602 0.022026 0.043610 0.114809
2025-05-18 0.003408 0.004934 0.007436 0.012266 0.022715 0.049298 0.156501
2025-05-25 0.003034 0.004462 0.006861 0.011657 0.022592 0.052903 0.199241
2025-06-01 0.002752 0.004105 0.006432 0.011239 0.022767 0.057604 0.262769
2025-06-08 0.002603 0.003955 0.006349 0.011506 0.024743 0.069898 0.434912
2025-06-15 0.002427 0.003736 0.006105 0.011372 0.025617 0.079245 0.663748
2025-06-22 0.002221 0.003446 0.005691 0.010778 0.024981 0.081903 0.851035
2025-06-29 0.002094 0.003285 0.005508 0.010687 0.025849 0.092769 1.417339
2025-07-06 0.001997 0.003184 0.005455 0.010966 0.028280 0.117365 4.015308
2025-07-13 0.001935 0.003141 0.005521 0.011575 0.032326 0.163465 37.733489
2025-07-20 0.001860 0.003064 0.005504 0.011967 0.035919 0.221372 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001762 0.002934 0.005351 0.011947 0.037856 0.274664 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001673 0.002814 0.005205 0.011916 0.039800 0.342998 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001576 0.002667 0.004982 0.011604 0.040237 0.395565 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001471 0.002499 0.004694 0.011040 0.039096 0.415587 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001386 0.002366 0.004474 0.010651 0.038758 0.457500 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001345 0.002320 0.004453 0.010899 0.042242 0.650162 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001287 0.002233 0.004327 0.010775 0.043482 0.808078 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001211 0.002104 0.004088 0.010223 0.041689 0.815944 NaN